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The Federal Reserve and the ECB both followed their script closely, hiking 25bp. The former suggested that it would like to pause at the June meeting but needs to see lower inflation. The latter is not yet done in this cycle. Both remain very data dependent and implied that any forward guidance is of limited use for now. The dollar sold off on the news, modestly against European currencies, more sharply against those of commodity exporting prices. Recent ranges against the euro and the pound continue to hold, however.

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As expected, a data-light week saw muted moves among the major currencies, which almost all held to recent trading ranges.

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In the absence of major macroeconomic news or central bank decisions, the euro, dollar and Sterling all traded in tight ranges against each other while risk assets retreated modestly from the year highs achieved the week prior.

Ebury was named as the top forecaster for the EUR/CZK pair for the second quarter in a row in Q1. Ebury also ranked as the number 2 forecaster for EUR/RON, the Mexican peso (MXN) and the Peruvian new sol (PEN).

Markets used a slightly better than expected headline inflation print in the US to send the dollar further down against all major currencies last week, save the Japanese yen.It's worth noting that the dollar underperformed even in the face of an uptick in US yields.

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Typical market correlations broke down last week, after the forced merger of Credit Suisse with UBS had allayed European banking concerns only temporarily. The dollar fell against every major currency except the Japanese yen, as investors skewed safe havens and rediscovered their appetite for risk.