✈️ Download our latest Travel Playbook here. Unravelling the complexities of the travel industry in a globalised world. 🗺️

EUR/USD stops advancing further

  • Go back to blog home
  • All posts
    All posts|Currency Updates
    All posts|Currency Updates|International Trade
    All posts|International Trade
    Blog
    Central Bank Meetings
    Charities & NGOs
    Currency Updates
    Currency Updates|In The News
    Ecommerce
    Fraud
    FX 101
    In The News
    International Trade
    Podcast
    Press Release
    Product Update
    Security & Fraud
    Special FX Reports
    Special Report
    Weekly Market Update
  • Latest

27 June 2019

Written by
Matthew Ryan

Senior Market Analyst at Ebury. Providing expert currency analysis so small and mid-sized businesses can effectively navigate international markets.

Yesterday’s trading in the main pair was mostly range-bound.

A
fter a recent set of speeches from Fed officials failed to further strengthen the case for a rate cut, the main pair lost some of its force and is trading below 1.14.

Considering the recent noise from the Fed after June’s meeting, it seems very likely that the central bank will decide to ease monetary policy during its meeting at the end of July. However, the Fed doesn’t seem pressured to take the hard approach and immediately cut rates by more than 25 basis points.

Today, the markets are awaiting Germany’s June inflation data, that would be an opening to tomorrow’s preliminary print for the entire common currency area. Aside from that, a final revision of GDP growth estimate in the US will also be watched by the markets.

Markets await the G20 meeting

The next few days will be key for EUR/USD and the Fed. As G20 country leaders will gather in Osaka, the market’s focus will shift to the trade war. With Donald Trump, nothing can be guaranteed, but markets are hoping that during the meeting with his Chinese counterpart, faith in the US-China trade relationship might finally take a turn for the better. The communication from both the US and China after the meeting would be key to assessing the sentiment towards a possibility of reaching a potential deal, even if the actual resolution in this context might take some time.

Sterling finds ground after Boris Johnson eases tone

Recently, Sterling volatility eased somewhat. It decreased alongside the changes in EUR/USD and a change in tone from Boris Johnson, who’s widely expected to become the UK’s prime minister at the end of the month. In his latest remarks, Johnson struck an optimistic tone saying that the chances of no-deal Brexit are ‘a million-to-one against’. The claim suggests that he is determined to get the deal done and approved by MPs.

SHARE