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Stock markets reacted to the strong US payroll report with a sell-off that accelerated into Friday's close.
Investors will be forgiven for having half an eye on the sports pages this month as the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off, bringing the usual mix of drama and excitement. That said, financial markets are set to serve up a spectacle of their own.
Peace talks between the US and Iran continue to inch slowly but surely towards an agreement.
Financial news last week was dominated by the sharp sell off in bond markets worldwide.
The war in Iran, and the subsequent heightened geopolitical risk premium and acute volatility in commodity markets, make for a challenging backdrop for FX forecasting.
The standoff between the US and Iran shows little sign of abating, after President Trump dismissed Tehran's response to peace overtures over the weekend.
Say it quietly, but the war in Iran appears to be edging slowly towards an eagerly awaited finale, much to the relief of market participants.
The fragile ceasefire in the Iran war is fraying as the US actively tries to break Iran's blockade while maintaining its own.
While the shaky Iran war ceasefire is holding, for now, the near-complete blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is still in force from both sides, and there is little sign that peace talks are making progress, or even taking place.
Trump's optimistic announcements on Friday regarding a possible agreement with Iran and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz were greeted with a severe fall in oil prices and a sharp move higher in risk assets. The former proved to be short-lived.
Risk assets rallied sharply late-Tuesday into Asian trading on Wednesday amid the welcome news of a temporary US-Iran ceasefire.
The ongoing war in Iran, and the subsequent heightened geopolitical risk premium and acute volatility in commodity markets, make for a challenging backdrop for FX forecasting.
