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The ongoing war in Iran, and the subsequent heightened geopolitical risk premium and acute volatility in commodity markets, make for a challenging backdrop for FX forecasting.
The war in Iran is now entering its second month without any clear prospects for either a ceasefire or the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
The war in Iran rages on without a clear end in sight, with market participants now bracing for the possibility that the conflict drags on for a matter of months, rather than just weeks.
The war in Iran rages on without a clear end in sight, and as US and Israeli strikes continue, and Iran digs its heels in by continuing to block the Strait of Hormuz, markets are bracing for a conflict that could drag on for a number of months, rather than merely weeks.
Any doubts about whether the dollar still retained its safe haven status in times of geopolitical turmoil have been dispelled.
The Iran war is now in its second week, and markets are bracing for the possibility that it will last a while.
The Iran war is now in its second week, and markets are bracing for the possibility that it will last a while. Stocks and bonds fell in tandem, an unusual and perhaps ominous development.
The dollar had a terrible week against just about every major currency worldwide, despite President Trump’s latest U-turn and predictable backing down over his Greenland tariffs.Initial relief in financial markets did not extend to the US dollar.
The US dollar confirms that it remains a safe haven for investors worried at times of global conflict.Maduro's capture, US seizure of unregistered oil tankers, Trump's threats on Denmark and the Iranian protets all contributed to a sense of anxiety and the dollar rallied against its peers, as did gold.
Last week's wobbliness in equity markets and tech stocks did not carry over into currency markets. G10 currencies traded in tight ranges, wi...
While tech stocks had their worst week since the Liberation Day sell-off in April, currency markets largely took the AI mini-crash in stride.G10 currencies remained in tight ranges, while some emerging market currencies posted modest gains.
The dollar managed to hold on rather well last week, considering that the only economic data point out of the US in weeks (September inflati...
